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Sizing the Crypto x AI Market

Key Insights

  • Since October, AI agent tokens have rapidly proliferated, joining TAO as key players in the emergence of a new and dynamic crypto sector.
  • The Crypto x AI sector is beginning to exhibit the hallmarks of a dominant meta, driven by rising retail participation, a speculative narrative, and favorable market conditions.
  • Prior examples of metas like DeFi in 2020/2021, SOLUNAVAX in 2021, and memecoins in 2023/2024 peaked at collective market caps far exceeding AI's current valuation.
  • Closing 2024 with a ~$14 billion collective market cap, the AI x Crypto sector presents considerable upside, with our base case projecting growth to $100 billion in market cap.

A Brewing AI Bull Market

What should a market sector which combines the explosive liquidity of crypto and the uncapped potential of AI be worth? Since the emergence of GOAT and Truth Terminal in October, projects centered around AI agents and their underlying infrastructure have surged in valuation. We still view Bittensor (TAO) as the leader and early mover in the Crypto x AI space. However, the conversation has shifted away from incentivizing AI models to compete with traditional companies, and more towards leveraging existing models for a direct onchain use case - agents.

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Sunny was previously a TradFi Research Analyst at a long-only hedge fund. He is now an Enterprise Research Analyst at Messari focusing on consumer, DeFi, and all things cool.

Qorban was previously an analyst at a stablecoin startup. His primary interests are DeFi, stablecoins, and macro finance.

Outline
  • Key Insights
  • A Brewing AI Bull Market
  • AI x Crypto - the Makings of a Winner
  • Making the Comparisons
  • Conclusion
Authors
Sunny was previously a TradFi Research Analyst at a long-only hedge fund. He is now an Enterprise Research Analyst at Messari focusing on consumer, DeFi, and all things cool.
Qorban was previously an analyst at a stablecoin startup. His primary interests are DeFi, stablecoins, and macro finance.