Memecoins continue to take a disproportionately high share of trading volume despite being a small fraction of total crypto market capitalization.
Moonshot, a newly-launched trading platform on iOS and Android, gives users a Robinhood-like interface for trading memecoins. It has surged in popularity the past month.
Average returns across all listings have been positive as outsized winners have more than made up for more frequent losers. Listing-to-date returns have increased in the months of September and October as more users have been buying new listings.
Metrics like MC/Holders and holder distribution were not very predictive of future returns in the sample and time-frame that we analyzed.
However, looking at divergences between holder growth and price action may be useful for gauging whether a newly launched token may have continued momentum.
Prior to joining Messari, Andrew was an equity trader at a proprietary trading firm. His primary interests are understanding market dynamics, riding trends, and finding the occasional onchain winner.
Prior to joining Messari, Andrew was an equity trader at a proprietary trading firm. His primary interests are understanding market dynamics, riding trends, and finding the occasional onchain winner.