Base and Solana were the fastest growing chains by DeFi metrics in 2024, with Base's DEX volumes and TVL now representing ~40% of Solana’s. We believe Base can flip Solana in overall volumes and TVL in 2025, driven by a number of structural advantages.
Analysis into Raydium and Aerodrome's DEX performance reveals that Solana’s trading volumes are far more dependent on long-tail assets, while Base has a stronger moat around its volumes due to its heavier concentration of majors/stables trading pools.
Base and Coinbase’s strategic partnership brings a number of catalysts, including the ability for Coinbase to wrap or tokenize a diverse range of assets and bring them onto Base.
There is evidence to suggest that Ethereum TVL would be far more likely to migrate to Base than to Solana.
Base's capacity to aggressively reduce transaction costs, supported by Coinbase's long-term time horizon, provides an additional competitive edge.
Sunny was previously a TradFi Research Analyst at a long-only hedge fund. He is now an Enterprise Research Analyst at Messari focusing on consumer, DeFi, and all things cool.
Sunny was previously a TradFi Research Analyst at a long-only hedge fund. He is now an Enterprise Research Analyst at Messari focusing on consumer, DeFi, and all things cool.