This marks the third consecutive year Blockworks Research has covered MetaDAO. In 2024, Luke Leasure wrote about its beginnings as a fringe futarchy experiment. Last year, I covered its evolution into a capital formation platform for “unruggable ICOs”: token offerings with enforceable holder rights, treasuries governed through decision markets, and offchain legal recourse.
Before looking ahead, we should acknowledge that our forecast last year was too optimistic. We assumed MetaDAO would host five ICOs per month, but the actual pace was below two, leaving both launches and revenue below even our bear case. META is nonetheless up about 250% since publication and was up more than 8x at its January peak. The market has re-rated META well ahead of the operating results, raising the bar for further upside.
MetaDAO has since matured as both a platform and an organization, with a more refined launch process, a larger team, and continued product development. Meanwhile, the SEC’s proposed Regulation Crypto Assets lays the groundwork for the next ICO boom.
We covered Regulation Crypto Assets in a detailed report last month. For MetaDAO, the key provision is the Startup Exemption, which appears well aligned with its ICO model.
Under the proposed Startup Exemption, issuers could raise up to $5M over four years through public token sales open to US retail investors without registering the offering with the SEC. The Startup Exemption is Rule 200 of the proposal and the diagram below compares it with the routes available today to token issuers.
Carlos leads coverage on Solana and spends his time on DeFi applications. Previously held a research role at 21Shares.