I saw some people comparing yesterday's “insurrection” on the U.S. Capitol to a military coup or even 9/11. Just…no. There is no comparison to be made between the images of a viking LARPer standing behind the Speaker’s podium due to shoddy Capitol security, and the smoldering ruins of a symbol of American capitalism containing the remains of nearly 3,000 souls. Still, yesterday was (as W so aptly put four years ago) “some weird shit.” The chaos presidency (h/t Jeb!) may be mercifully coming to an end, but we could still have more economic and monetary chaos as the political pendulum swings left and Democrats take full control of the government in two weeks. The staggering bitcoin rally seems to reflect that “fear” of unchecked spending.
The long-term consequences of massive monetary expansion are known (end of the USD reserve), even if they are still underappreciated. At first glance, that seems very bad. Naval said something on Clubhouse like "I feel sad when Bitcoin goes up because it means the world is going down.” But I think that misses the mark. Our political systems weren’t built to survive the internet age, and their underperformance (and ultimate failures) have seemed like a foregone conclusion even before the dawn of bitcoin. If anything, we should be relieved, not saddened by crypto’s emergence because it’s a lifeboat that has arrived just in time.
We should hope Biden proves to be a historically temperate one-term President, one that presides over an orderly (if painful) fiscal restructuring that embraces crypto rather than strangling it. We might hope he takes cues from the original President Bush, who oversaw the orderly unwinding of the Soviet Union, and was the right man for the moment, even though he served just one term.
Prior to founding Messari, Ryan was an entrepreneur-in-residence at ConsenSys, and on the founding teams of Digital Currency Group, where he managed the firm’s seed investing activity, and CoinDesk, where he led the company’s restructuring & annual Consensus conferences. He has been an investor & prolific writer in the crypto industry since 2013.