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StablecoinsRWA

Ethena's Next Act

Introduction

Ethena’s original edge was simple: package the crypto basis trade into a scalable synthetic dollar and pass the yield to users. That edge is now under pressure.

sUSDe yields have compressed from over 20% at the highs to roughly 3.5%-4.5% this year as funding rates normalized and the basis trade became increasingly crowded. Ethena has responded by shifting more capital into T-bills, DeFi lending, and incentive-driven stablecoin opportunities. But that also changes what Ethena is.

It is no longer just a delta-neutral basis trade wrapper. It is starting to look more like an actively managed stablecoin yield vault.

In April 2026, Ethena proposed expanding USDe’s backing beyond crypto basis trades into institutional lending, RWAs beyond T-bills, and equity and commodity basis trades. The goal is clear: reduce reliance on a single strategy, lower exposure to correlated crypto market risks, and create a more resilient yield engine. 

In this report, I look at how scalable these new strategies are, how correlated they are to the existing BTC and ETH basis trades, and the impact they could have on sUSDe yields. 

The Basis Trade Is Losing Its Edge

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Kunal covers the AI and RWA Sector

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Outline
  • Introduction
  • The Basis Trade Is Losing Its Edge
  • Institutional Lending Is the Most Scalable Alternative
  • RWAs Offer Stability and Scale
  • Commodity and Equity Basis Trades Face a Scale Problem
  • Ethena Is Optimizing for Resilience, Not Higher Yields
  • Ethena Is Becoming a Yield Curator
  • Ethena's Fee Switch Needs an Update
  • The Real Headwind for Ethena
  • Closing Thoughts
Author
Kunal covers the AI and RWA Sector
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