Ray Dalio believes the world is heading towards a big paradigm shift. Central banks have injected an enormous amount of money into the world, pushing up asset prices across the board without having any meaningful effect on economic growth or inflation. Government deficits are substantial and rising, healthcare and pension obligations are increasingly coming due without the ability to satisfy them, and inequality gaps are widening due to asset inflation, technological advances, and lack of credit for the “have nots.” According to Dalio, as debt monetization becomes the easiest option for governments to deal with unmeetable debt obligations, the viability of the three major world reserve currencies as viable stores of wealth will be threatened. The paradigm we are in is unsustainable and can no longer be kicked down the road as is has been since 2008.
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